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Here at Blacksmith, we’re all about addressing issues we think might be of interest to our readers while simultaneously providing a little humor. We won’t limit ourselves to just a few topics. If we find something interesting or funny, we’ll try to post it. In the end, each man decides for himself whether or not the information is beneficial and what they do with it.

As you explore our Blog, you’ll notice Blacksmith is NOT crazy left or extreme right; we’re BOTH liberal and conservative! We engage in full spectrum thought and believe in freedom of speech and a constant, steady flow of ideas. If you are or ‘lean’ marxist (NWO, SJW, progressive, socialist, communist, or globalist) you’ll most likely be triggered since our content challenges a narrow minded, utopian world view. Blacksmith is NOT politically correct; we don’t engage in corporate sissy-ism in hopes of earning a buck. If you’re easily offended, we suggest losing the boy bun, growing thick skin, and moving out of your parent’s house before exploring our Blog.

Our comments cover a wide range of topics to include; culture, education, faith, family, finance, news, nutrition, technology, the military, and yeah, we’ll poke fun at politicians and the political class as often as possible. Of course, we’ll cover reading and writing books as well, since that is our passion. Feel free to leave comments located at the bottom of each post, and most of all, lighten up, have a healthy sense of humor and just enjoy the Blog. We don’t take ourselves that seriously.


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Doug Casey on Phyles (17 August 2017)

By Doug Casey, founder, Casey Research

The concept of phyles originated with the sci-fi writer Neal Stephenson, in his seminal book The Diamond Age. I’ve always been a big fan of quality science fiction. I’m not sure why it’s true, but there’s no question sci-fi has been a vastly better predictor of both social and technological trends than absolutely anything else.

The book, set mostly in China in the near-term future, posits that while states still exist, they’ve been overwhelmed in importance by the formation of phyles. Phyles are groups of people that get together with others, bound by whatever is important to them. Maybe it will be their race, religion, or culture. Maybe their occupation or hobby. Maybe their world view or what they want to accomplish in life. Maybe it’s a fairly short-term objective. There are thousands—millions—of possibilities.

The key is that a phyle might provide much more than a fraternal or beneficial organization (like Rotary or Lions) does. I take the concept quite seriously in my daily life. It’s one reason I don’t believe in organized charity. Phyles might provide insurance services very effectively, since a like-minded group—held together by peer pressure and social approbation—eliminates a lot of moral risk. It might very well offer protection services; a criminal might readily take out a citizen “protected” by a state, but they’ll think twice before attacking members of the Mafia.

People are social. They’ll inevitably organize themselves into groups for all the reasons you can imagine. In the past, technology only allowed people to organize themselves by geography—they had to be in the same area. That’s been changing, especially over the last century, with the emergence of the train, the car, and especially the airplane. The same with communication. The telephone and television were huge leaps, but the Internet is the catalytic breakthrough. It’s now possible for people to reach out all over the world to find others that are their actual countrymen, not just some moron that shares a piece of government ID with them.

As things develop, people will find out—or create places—where their loyalties lie. The nation-state has mostly been an inefficient, counterproductive, and expensive nuisance; it’s rapidly becoming completely insufferable. And dangerous; the people living off the state (which is to say acting as parasites upon their “fellow citizens”) are going to resist having their rice bowls broken. Undoubtedly they’ll use the coercive powers of the state to try to maintain the status quo. The military and the police (whose loyalties are first to their coworkers, then to their employer, and only then to those whom they’re supposed to “serve and protect”) will be out in force wearing riot gear.

If the last major change in social structure was catalyzed by the printing press, it’s pretty easy to see how the Internet serves that function today. But what will facilitate it, the way gunpowder did? My bet is on some type of nanotechnology.

I’ve long been a fan of nanotech as a world changer. Technology has always been the friend of freedom and the common man. Sure, the powers of suppression usually get first access to it and always try to monopolize it and use it to keep the “masses” under control, but in the end the cat always gets out of the bag. Even though the state is using an intimidating variety of technologies to keep its subjects under control, technology is evolving much faster and spreading much more broadly, to the benefit of people in general. The end of the state will be precipitated by the Nanotech Revolution. In the years to come, nanotech will, in many ways, be an analog of gunpowder. But thousands of times more potent.

It will do a number of things to totally overturn the current world social order. It will, among many other things, show that (at a minimum) the state no longer serves a useful purpose. And will act as the means to facilitate treason… simply because it’s logical, if nothing else.

But I’m jumping just slightly ahead of the story. Nanotech is going to become the major force in the world over the next generation. But you’re not going to have to wait nearly that long for all this stuff to start happening.

Let me draw your attention to two important things that are just starting to happen, right now, that are going to lead to a New World Order. But not at all like the one envisioned by Bush and Kissinger.

Economic Collapse

I’m not going to spend a lot of time on this. If you’ve been reading our publications for any length of time and don’t think we’re in for something unprecedented, then we haven’t been nearly as clear—and alarmist—as we meant to be. Economic collapse doesn’t mean the world is going to come to an end; it just means there’s going to be a major change in who owns what and how things are produced and consumed. Our main focus is to suggest investments that should not only weather the building hurricane but allow you to profit from it.

The purpose of articles like this one is to try to put all that in context. One thing that’s going to militate towards the creation of phyles is the breakdown of the ability of governments to provide the services that people expect from them. At the same time that they’re extracting hugely more in taxes, they’ll be beset by inflation, economic depression, financial chaos, and regulatory havoc. People will increasingly realize the state isn’t a cornucopia that can solve their problems but is, in fact, actually the main cause of their problems. They’ll start withdrawing loyalty from it.

People will start organizing themselves into incipient phyles (although they probably won’t call them that), using the Internet. The governments of the world will increasingly clamp down on the Net, recognizing it for the subversive medium that it is, seeing that it’s defrocking their game.

Among other things, economic distress usually leads to military action, as governments try to find an outsider to blame for their problems. The tendency is compounded by the perversely wrong-headed notion that a war can somehow cure a depression. This time around, I expect military events will play a significant part in the sea change—just as they did during the agricultural and industrial revolutions.

Military Collapse

Like any bureaucracy, the military is completely predictable and so is again fighting the last war. Spending $400 million on a single F-22, $2 billion on a single B-2, and many billions on a single aircraft carrier is simply crazy. These technically amusing toys would have been helpful for fighting the armed forces of another nation-state—like those of the USSR, but those largely disappeared decades ago. In today’s world, with a near total shift to unconventional warfare, they’re about as valuable as cavalry.

Besides, the attack won’t come from Russia, which is on its way to demographic, economic, and political collapse anyway. Or from China. It’s clear to them they don’t need a military confrontation when it’s just a matter of time before they win through economics and demographics.

The real military threat to the U.S. (and China, Russia, and all the other nation-states) is what’s evolving in Iraq and Afghanistan. On the one hand, these wars can be viewed as a continuation of the Crusades. The average Muslim takes his religion much more seriously than the average Christian. Maybe that’s just because Islam is a simpler religion. More likely though, it’s because Muslims are much poorer and generally more backward than the West; it might be said they’re still sociologically where the West was during the Middle Ages.

Be that as it may, there are 1.3 billion of these folks, and they feel badly treated. Osama spelled out, clearly and publicly, the three reasons for the current jihad—of which the average American is totally ignorant. One, Western support of Israel. Two, the presence of Western troops in Islamic countries. Three, Western support of corrupt puppet governments throughout the Islamic world (almost all of them, but prominently including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Iraq). His views are factually correct. And the facts greatly antagonize hundreds of millions of poor Muslims, who subsequently feel they have a lot to gain, and almost nothing to lose, by fighting the infidel.

But what’s the nature of this War Against Islam, which shows every sign of heating up in Iraq and Afghanistan and spreading catastrophically to Pakistan and Iran? And beyond.

It’s not a war against another nation-state; those governments are pathetically incapable of fighting a real war. Their armies are now, and always have been, used exclusively for suppressing the population.

Because they aren’t uniformed and organized into conventional units, and because they attack only small or soft targets, the mujahidin (“terrorists” to Boobus americanus ) look like the guerrillas we saw in the 20th century. But they’re not. They aren’t fighting a war of liberation. They don’t have a central command. And they’re not actually trying to overthrow a government. Stupidly, the US government is responding by using all kinds of impressive and very expensive hi-tech devices to kill small numbers of fighters. Which is not only non-productive, it’s totally counterproductive. Every fighter who’s killed (forget about innocent wedding parties) gives rise to ten more young, motivated fighters. And these people have the highest birthrates in the world.

This isn’t like fighting the Vietnamese, where there was at least a leadership hierarchy. It’s not like fighting ants or bees, where if you kill the queen, you win. It’s more like killing cockroaches in your apartment, when they infest the entire building.

Sidebar here. I’m not using the word stupid as a pejorative, or because I can’t find a thesaurus. Nor am I using it to denote a low IQ; some people in the US government have quite high IQs. I’m using it in either of two other senses. One: as the inability to predict the consequences of actions. Two: as an unwitting tendency towards self-destruction.

Anyway, it’s stupid to focus on things like Osama’s Al-Qaeda. That organization was just a flag planted in the sand, to draw attention to the cause. The movement has long since metastasized, and there are now undoubtedly hundreds of informal little organizations, some of whom are friendly toward each other, some of whom are bitter rivals. But all of whom share a common goal. They all watch each other and learn from what the other does.

It’s like the early days of the auto business, when there were hundreds of companies. They were all innovating as rapidly as they could and all watching each other in order to profit from each other’s advances. They didn’t particularly like each other and were in true competition, but they had the same goal, and everyone immediately applied advances in technology that anyone else made. Unstoppable.

By comparison, the US is like GM today. It’s got a research lab that comes up with good stuff now and then, but at a huge cost. And whatever it does come up with is applied slowly, bureaucratically. It will be completely overwhelmed by what amounts to a military marketplace.

Which is another point. The mujahidin buy all their technology off the shelf. They may be poor and superstitious, but they’re not stupid in the way they’re dealing with the US. We attack them with a million-dollar (hard cost only) missile; they counterattack with a $1,000 IED. We attack them with an airstrike, using hundreds of millions of dollars of aircraft; they counterattack with a suicide bomber, at about zero cost. The US takes out one of their leaders; they attack a city like Paris and create mass hysteria.

In the near future, you’ll find these people carrying out mass and random assassinations. Blowing up power transformers. Cutting fiber-optic and electrical cables. Doing nasty things in the air-conditioning systems of high-rise buildings. Sit down and brainstorm for 15 minutes about what you’d do if you really wanted to punish The Great Satan. If you don’t scare yourself, then you don’t have much imagination. Their return on investment is almost infinite. That assures the US will go bankrupt on the path it’s currently on. They don’t need NSA supercomputers; all they need is a few laptops, cell phones, some stuff you can buy at Radio Shack, instructions on the Internet, and a few buddies who share a common goal. And none of this postulates nanotech devices, which will be created in thousands of garages in the years to come.

A determined guerrilla war is almost impossible to win, as the French found in Algeria and the Americans found in Vietnam. The reason is that if you’re fighting guerrillas, you’re almost certainly fighting the average guy in a country—which means you’ve got to kill almost everybody to win. If you’re fighting a guerrilla war, be assured you’re an outsider, and you’re on the wrong side (even if you think you’re the good guy).

An open-source guerrilla war (to use computer jargon) is a new thing and much worse from the nation-state’s point of view. For one thing, it’s truly impossible to win. That’s for the same reason the behemoth IBM had its lunch eaten first by Apple (founded by a couple of hippies in a garage), then the PC (with thousands of independents writing code, strictly on their own). It’s the nation-state fighting hundreds of what amount to phyles, whose main common denominator, at the moment, is that they’re all Islamic. But that’s going to change soon.

What’s going to happen? The US is going to lose this undeclared war catastrophically. The defeat is going to occur, in part, because it’s going to accelerate the ongoing bankruptcy of the US. The US is also going to be soundly defeated on a strictly military level. A nation-state can no more win against phyles than tribes could win against kingdoms. And nanotechnology, which will give individuals the power that only armies once had, is just in its very beginnings.

Incidentally, phyle warfare is going to spread way beyond the Muslim world. My guess is that will occur in at least two other circumstances: the unwinding of dysfunctional colonial structures in most Third World countries, and internal economic collapse in some advanced countries.

You’re going to see this all over Africa and all over the parts of the world the Europeans colonized, creating artificial nation-states by drawing arbitrary lines on maps, with no regard for who was already living there. About 100 countries in the world have absolutely no business being countries to start with. Lots of little phyles are going to spring up, not to take over the collapsing governments of Africa (which are nothing but vehicles for theft anyway) but to facilitate their destruction and replace them by something local. Or nothing.

The Europeans and Americans will call them “failed states”—an accurate description. But they’re too stupid to realize that a failed state is actually a good thing today—the next stage of what’s going to happen. Somalia provides an early indicator. Governments, with their hugely expensive capital ships, are completely incapable of preventing teenagers in dinghies from controlling a major sea lane. Worse, governments are preventing commercial ships from arming their crews so they can effectively engage the boarders. Governments are incapable of protecting merchants, only capable of preventing merchants from protecting themselves.

Phyle warfare isn’t going to be restricted to Africa, the Islamic world, and the like. It will arrive in America. All kinds of groups—outlaw bikers, skinheads, religious right types, local sovereignty enthusiasts, young Hispanics, and groups of every kind—could easily form loose networks, as opposed to tight organizations, sharing little more than dissatisfaction with the status quo.

The world has been evolving ever more rapidly as time goes by. The recent rise to legitimacy of so-called NGOs (non-governmental organizations) is another straw in the wind. I’ll bet the next change is going to be turbo-charged. And bigger than anything that we’ve seen, or read about, so far. The Greater Depression may just serve as a background for all this—just a sideshow in a much bigger circus.


Doug Casey
Founder, Casey Research

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The Secret Civil War (1 April 2017)

by Porter Stansberry

What you’re about to read is deeply troubling—and there’s a good chance you won’t believe it. But the fact is, right now, a secret civil war is being waged in Washington D.C.

It is about to have a HUGE impact on our country.

Two warnings before we begin…

First, what I know so far is deeply troubling. We’re approaching what will be the most dangerous period in our country’s political history since the Great Depression. What could happen next scares me. But I continue to be optimistic that what will unfold will be great for our country.

Also, I’m certain that you simply won’t believe much of what you’ll read in today’s essay. In fact, until I did my own follow-up research to verify what I could from my sources, I disregarded this story as “political nonsense” or just another D.C. conspiracy theory.

Besides… it was all too horrible to believe. But then… almost everything my sources told me would happen started happening…

  • Let’s begin here…

Did you know the U.S. government has a secrecy designation so restricted that virtually nobody – not even lifetime members of the intelligence community – even knows what it’s called? It’s not “TOP SECRET.” It’s way beyond that level.

In late 2009, President Obama created this new level of secrecy inside our government with an executive order (No. 13526) – so Congress never approved it. Administered by the CIA, this new level of secrecy has created a covert government-within-the-government that almost nobody knows and absolutely nobody is monitoring.

If you’ve ever heard the term the “Deep State” – the secret government-within-the-government that actually holds power – then you know why a level of secrecy beyond “top secret” is so important. This new, more restricted level of secrecy was created so that the most powerful leaders of our government could communicate in total isolation.

This level of secrecy is such a closely guarded secret that the name of the program itself is classified – and divulging the name is a crime, punishable by at least 10 years in a secret prison. So this level of security clearance is known only as “codeword.”

  • At the highest levels of our D.C. government, only two dozen or so people have codeword clearances…

I learned about this earlier this month. I was invited to lunch with someone who has held that level of security clearance. He told me about the existence of the codeword-level program. This isn’t a rumor. It’s a fact.

For the last 30-plus years, my source has worked for and around the highest levels of our government. He is currently regarded as the president’s most likely choice to become our next Federal Reserve chairman.

Today, however, his clients include the world’s top hedge fund managers and the leaders of America’s biggest corporations. He is, in short, America’s corporate representative of the Deep State.

We call him the “Metropolitan Man.”

We met about a year ago. He reached out to me through a mutual friend – one of the best, young hedge fund managers in New York. He asked me to join him for dinner at the Metropolitan Club in New York, one of the most elite clubs in the United States.

(Legendary banker J.P. Morgan founded the club. It’s where billionaire investor Warren Buffett held his 50th birthday party. And it sits at the southeast corner of Central Park, across from The Plaza Hotel, with a great vista of Columbus Circle.)

At the time, the Metropolitan Man was forecasting correctly that the world’s central bankers and their negative-interest-rate policy were failing… and that they would soon trigger a global run out of paper money and into gold. Over the next several months, gold and gold stocks soared.

  • A few days ago, the Metropolitan Man asked to see me again…

He wanted to talk about something he had never seen before in all his years working in the government.

For the first time ever, a codeword-level secret was leaked to the press. Nothing this sensitive has ever been leaked before – ever.

Among senior leaders in D.C., it is widely believed that the director of the CIA himself was responsible for the codeword leak. And the rumor is that this information was then passed to the press through New York Senator Chuck Schumer’s office.

What was leaked?

A codeword secret briefing the CIA produced about a meeting in Trump Tower last December between a Russian ambassador and two senior Trump administration officials – Jared Kushner and Michael Flynn.

When Flynn lied about the meeting to the White House staff, he was fired. But the deeper question is: How did the CIA know about the meeting? How did it know how long the meeting lasted? How did it know exactly what was discussed? And how did that information end up in the hands of a New York Times reporter?

This backstory explains how Trump knows the CIA was spying on Trump Tower. And the counternarratives – Trump’s claim that Obama was spying on him and the Democrats’ claim that Trump is in league with Russia – are the beginning of a serious war. A civil war inside the Deep State itself.

  • Reading the newspapers won’t explain how this war is being fought…

They will never publish a clear explanation of the battle lines – or even who is fighting or why. But the outcome of these battles is likely to determine the fate of our economy for the next several decades. Let me explain why… and tell you what this fight is really about…

For the last 40 or so years, the U.S. economy has been built around a model that created vast power in D.C. The model has a few important components.

First, we have a highly “progressive” income tax. That ensures that anyone who makes high wages will pay for the lion’s share of the government’s expenses. Without extremely progressive income tax rates – where about half the country pays nothing and the top 10% pay for roughly 80% – the electorate would never continue to vote for more and more government. But it does, mostly because it doesn’t have to pay for it.

Second, the government has an incredibly powerful regulatory regime in place. This allows D.C. to essentially control vast segments of our economy. Take Wall Street, for example. Who gets to sell a bond or a stock to the public? Nobody the Securities and Exchange Commission doesn’t like (i.e. yours truly). This power results in tremendous amounts of “tribute” – legal fees, fines, and hidden lobbying that flows into D.C. and feeds its economic ecosystem.

And finally… there’s the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and “free” trade. Our country has the ability to export all of the inflation generated by our central bank. This has led to decades of lower and lower interest rates and the government’s ability to borrow essentially endless amounts of money without any serious inflationary consequences.

These three components form the foundations of Washington’s power. Attack any of them and you risk a huge fight with the Deep State. What Trump is doing right now via his border adjustment tax, additional tax reform, and regulatory rollback is targeting all three of them at the same time. If he wins, all of the power that has been consolidated in D.C. over the past 40 years will evaporate.

  • Trump has put a metaphorical gun to the head of the Deep State…

And now, the Deep State is fighting back, tooth and nail, to protect the system it has built.

Look at what has happened to the middle class in America over the last 40 years.

Did NAFTA prevent price inflation by allowing America’s consumer economy the luxury of accessing the world’s cheapest labor? Yes, it did. But the flip side was devastating to the entire manufacturing industry in the U.S. And where did the resulting wealth flow? To D.C. and to the top 1% of America’s wealthiest people who were able to access foreign markets and shield the resulting income from America’s tax system.

Meanwhile, America remains the only industrial country in the world with global income taxation (you have to pay federal income tax, no matter where you live) and without a value-added tax. In short, we’ve chosen a system that punishes wage earners, while rewarding individuals and corporations who use overseas labor. The result has been a decline in real, after-tax wages over the last 40 years. That’s a recipe to destroy the middle class – and that’s what has happened.

Trump’s plan to effectively lower income taxes to 25% and implement a value-added tax to discourage foreign production of U.S. products will turn this entire economic structure on its ear and disenfranchise the Deep State that controls it. The winners will be the middle class, small-business owners, wage earners, and America’s manufacturing base. The losers? Those who have invested heavily in the current Deep State regime.

  • Why is this scary?

Well, unlike the health reform issue, the Metropolitan Man assured me that Trump’s tax-reform agenda would certainly pass. “It’s a done deal,” he said. He told me that his job lately “has been to help major corporations understand what will be in the new laws and how they will impact various markets.” That means the Deep State has been pushed into a corner. What it might do next, no one knows.

“That it would leak a codeword secret… Well, I would have told you that couldn’t happen. I’ve never seen it before, not in more than 30 years in D.C. It’s scary because if it’ll do that, it’ll do anything. Stage a terrorist attack? Start a war with China? Nothing is impossible anymore.”

That’s the downside.

The next several months could see our government erupt into open civil war. The FBI accusing the president of treason… The president accusing a director of the CIA of breaking the law and having him arrested. Who knows where this will lead?

On the other hand, assuming the government doesn’t collapse into a civil war, Trump’s new economic model will become a reality before the end of the year. For some industries (and for most Americans) these changes will bring massive prosperity. And for others – especially for companies and individuals who have been living at the government trough, tough times are looming.

This isn’t the usual Republican versus Democrat fight. The Secret Civil War being waged today involves the People (Nationalists) versus the Establishment (Globalists). This is why many Democrats voted for and support Trump, and why so many Republicans oppose Trump’s agenda. Time will tell the victor!

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It May Be Time for an Amicable Divorce (21 February 2017)

For those of you still under the delusion that what you are witnessing today is nothing more than the usual Democrat versus Republican rancor, don’t bother wasting your time reading this article; this post is for those that are paying attention and wide awake!

Llewellyn H. Rockwell Jr. has a great article at LewRockwell.com that ought to be seriously considered by all Americans.


Facts are facts; there are quite a few Americans that absolutely hate traditional America! They evidently believe from the bottom of their heart that America is an evil place because it was founded by a bunch of religious, white racists. These Americans will never be happy until they are able to destroy traditional America, thereby allowing the country to be created again from scrap in order to attain social utopia.

Of course, there are quite a few more Americans that wholeheartedly disagree with the notion that America is an evil, racist country; furthermore, they absolutely love traditional America.

So, what are we to do? Personally, I don’t want to subjugate another any more than I’d want to stay in a miserable marriage! Let’s face it, sometimes divorce is best for all parties involved. It may be time to amicably separate from one another. Let all those that hate traditional America go! Let them build whatever their hearts desire.


The main obstacle to an amicable divorce is the fact that the vast majority of Americans have been thoroughly brainwashed into believing that secession is evil and impossible. After all, we still indoctrinate our youth with the pledge of allegiance that states, “…indivisable…” In all honesty, our country is as indivisible as Virginia and Nevada were during the Civil War. It may be time to re-embrace the uniquely American axiom, consent of the governed, rather than continue with the current coercion by executive order, a corrupt impotent congress, and an activist judiciary.

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Taking the First Step Off the Plantation (9 February 2017)

Kiarre Harris might not fully realize it yet, but she may have just had an epiphany. What if the Buffalo Public Schools were not working in her children’s best interest? What if the culture and values being taught within the government school system weren’t hers? What if she taught her own children like she sees so many successful white families doing? Those kids seem to be doing alright.

Normally this would not be a problem. There isn’t anything unusual about a family pulling their children out of the failing public school system and electing to homeschool, unless of course, you happen to be a single black woman living in the inner city. What was she thinking?

Homeschooling is the fastest growing form of education in the country. But the vast majority of homeschool families are white. After all, if minorities start opting out of public school as well, who is going to be left to feed the huge government jobs program called public education? And this is where Child Protective Services (CPS) usually comes in, as in the case with Kiarre Harris and her children.

Generally speaking, public education was, and still is specifically designed for working class Americans that obviously cannot afford a good liberal arts education. Any parent that truly understands what actually occurs in a public school and has the means, does not send their children to public school in this country. Don’t believe it? Just look at your own community and the facts are in plain sight. If you add up all of the private schools, parochial schools and home schools and put all those kids in one group, and then put all of the public school children in the other group, the differences between the groups are striking.

Ms. Harris considered the facts and then selected the other group for her children as the best way for them to succeed in life. She now realizes that the system isn’t going to make it easy for her to leave the plantation. Buffalo authorities have arrested her and CPS has taken her children. Of course, the children are back in public school where “they belong.” And, unfortunately, Ms. Harris got a taste of what happens when a poor, single black woman decides to leave the public school system without the blessings from her government masters.

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Progressives Prefer Daughters? (2 February 2017)

There was an article in the New York Times titled, The Fear of Having a Son by Andrew Reiner, 14 October, 2016, that made me thank God for the many families that still know how to rear boys that become strong men. (https://www.nytimes.com)

I’m not sure what progressive disease has inflicted so many men today, but it seems to be primarily concentrated in large urban areas along the west coast and in the New England states.

As Americans, we need to be thankful everyday for families like the Owens family of Peoria, Illinois, whose son, Chief Petty Officer William “Ryan” Owens, was reared right; able and willing to volunteer, serving his country as a Navy SEAL. Ryan Owens paid the ultimate sacrifice in service to his country this week fighting terrorists in Yemen.

As long as we still have families, like the Owens family in Illinois and other parts of this great country, who aren’t afraid to rear boys and know how to nurture them into strong and capable men, we won’t need to worry about the insecurities of terrified metro-sexuals. Here at Blacksmith, we can only imagine the fear these big city-dwellers experience just thinking about how to mentor boys into manhood. Perhaps it’s in the best interest of the nation that progressive families with androgynous males rear only daughters, and leave the rearing of sons to the families of the heartland.

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The Privileged Women’s March (24 January 2017)

Okay, okay, so there were a few gay men there as well, but it was still called the Women’s March or something along those lines. But before I share my thoughts about this gathering of privileged whiners, I think it is appropriate to remind our readers that Blacksmith accurately predicted Trump’s victory several months before the election (see previous post Dump the Trump 28 Feb 2016). The primary reason for our incredible accuracy is quite simple. Here at Blacksmith, we don’t watch a lot of TV, therefore aren’t inundated with useless propaganda from the MSM disguised as entertainment. Instead, we talked to ‘real’ people while traveling throughout the country. It was obvious to anyone not living in a shoe box that Trump was going to stomp all opponents. One obvious indicator was the fact that it was hard to find Hillary yard signs, and Trump signs were everywhere. The fact is, even with all of the anticipated voter fraud to include illegal aliens, dead people, and good ol’ fashioned ballot stuffing in the larger cities, Trump’s tsunami of support would be enough to defeat both Hillary and the voter fraud! It was basically a no-brainer.


Back to the subject of the post, which of course, has everything to do with Trump’s victory. Anyone who caught any media coverage of Saturday’s march picked up a few facts:

  1. 1) The vast majority, if not all, of these women have an ugly attitude, are mentally deranged, or both.
  2. 2) They seem to prefer, or are stuck with, having a government bureaucracy take care of them rather than partner with a man. Their message has little to do with ‘independence’ or ‘self reliance.’
  3. 3) They lack sportsmanship and are sore losers. Let’s be honest, they’re marching because their weak candidate got clobbered in the election.


We doubt the average Trump supporter is sympathetic to the plethora of issues vented during the Privileged Women’s March. Why these women supported such an undeniably corrupt politician is another story, but these upper-class women had eight years to feel good about themselves while the living conditions of average Americans slowly deteriorated under Obama’s policies. And, let’s not forget that conditions are even worse for families living in the inner cities due to higher crime rates and unemployment.

Bottom line, America is a great country for families, even privileged women. If it is going to remain a great country, we need to keep American families safe by securing the borders, and doing what we can to compete with cheap labor in other countries. Americans deserve safe communities, good paying jobs, and a quality education for our children. This is why Americans chose Trump. Pretty simple stuff and why predicting his victory was so easy.

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What Makes a Book a Bestseller?


According to Cathy Stucker’s, SellingBooks.com, a “bestseller” is usually determined either by:

  1. 1) Making the New York Times Bestseller list
  2. 2) Having a high Amazon sales ranking
  3. 3) Selling a large number of copies


Though well known, the New York Times bestseller list is rather arbitrary. The numbers don’t include internet sales, sales in department stores like Walmart, or sales in locally owned book stores/gift shops. Instead the numbers come exclusively from bookstores that have an established relationship with the NY Times. Other less known lists exist such as Publishers Weekly.

Amazon has also become a key player in determining a bestseller because it provides a sales rank for each book listed. A high sales ranking, for example, top 100, can also be used to claim bestseller status. According to Brent Sampson, to acquire a ranking of 1-10, a book must sell over 500 copies in a day.

Lastly, and probably the most accurate and profitable for all concerned, to achieve the coveted bestseller status, is simply to tally the total number sold. So just how many books do you need to sell to claim bestseller status? According to self-publishing guru, Dan Poynter, the magic number is 35,000. Since the popularity of a bestseller can be long or short, I think that’s a fair number. A book might come out and make a huge hit and sell a million copies in a year, and then be forgotten. Other books, like “A Tale of Two Cities” or “Pride and Prejudice” never appear on bestseller lists but they continue to sell steadily and have far outsold most books making the bestseller lists simply by their quality, word of mouth, and acceptance as great literature. The bible is a prime example of a bestseller!

In conclusion, your book may never make a bestseller list, but steady wins the race. Over time, you may sell more copies of your book than those books that make the bestseller lists. Authors dream of becoming famous over night, but producing a quality book is the best investment if you’re looking for longevity, and longevity, in my opinion, is the best indication of success.

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Looks Can Be Deceiving


Guys, we all know it’s getting a little freaky out there. Just stay alert and keep your head on a swivel.

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Voter Fraud is Real. Here’s the Proof. (14 October 2016)

“It’s not the people who vote that count. It’s the people who count the votes.” -Joseph Stalin

Voter Fraud is Real. Here’s the Proof.

by John Gibbs, The Federalist, October 13, 2016


This week, liberals have been repeating their frequent claim that voter fraud doesn’t exist. A recent Salon article argues that “voter fraud just isn’t a problem in Pennsylvania,” despite evidence to the contrary. Another article argues that voter fraud is entirely in the imagination of those who use voter ID laws to deny minorities the right to vote.

Yet as the election approaches, more and more cases of voter fraud are beginning to surface. In Colorado, multiple instances were found of dead people attempting to vote. Stunningly, “a woman named Sara Sosa who died in 2009 cast ballots in 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013.” In Virginia, it was found that nearly 20 voter applications were turned in under the names of dead people.

In Texas, authorities are investigating criminals who are using the technique of “vote harvesting” to illegally procure votes for their candidates. “Harvesting” is the practice of illegally obtaining the signatures of valid voters in order to vote in their name without their consent for the candidate(s) the criminal supports.

These are just some instances of voter fraud we know about. It would be silly to assume cases that have been discovered are the only cases of fraud. Indeed according to a Pew Research report from February 2012, one in eight voter registrations are “significantly inaccurate or no longer valid.” Since there are 146 million Americans registered to vote, this translates to a stunning 18 million invalid voter registrations on the books. Further, “More than 1.8 million deceased individuals are listed as voters, and approximately 2.75 million people have registrations in more than one state.” Numbers of this scale obviously provide ripe opportunity for fraud.

Don’t Let Data Contradict My Narrative

Yet in spite of all this, a report by the Brennan Center at New York University claims voter fraud is a myth. It argues that North Carolina, which passed comprehensive measures to prevent voter fraud, “failed to identify even a single individual who has ever been charged with committing in-person voter fraud in North Carolina.” However, this faulty reasoning does not point to the lack of in-person voter fraud, but rather to lack of enforcement mechanisms to identify and prosecute in-person voter fraud.

The science of criminal justice tells us that many crimes go unreported, and the more “victimless” the crime, the more this happens. The fact is, a person attempting to commit voter fraud is very unlikely to be caught, which increases the incentive to commit the crime.

The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) is a sophisticated, comprehensive effort to catalog “the number and types of crimes not reported to law enforcement authorities.” However, it tends to deal mostly in violent crimes. As complex as the NCVS is, gathering accurate data for unreported victimless crimes such as voter fraud is even harder, since 1) outside of the criminal, no one may know a crime has taken place, and 2) there is no direct victim to report the crime in the first place. Yet we are expected to believe that, unlike violent crime, voter fraud is limited only to the cases that are actually reported and prosecuted? This is a senseless position.

Further, the Brennan Center report argues that because prosecutor Kris Kobach’s review of 84 million votes cast in 22 states found only 14 instances of fraud referred for prosecution (which amounts to a 0.00000017 percent fraud rate), voter fraud is so statistically small that it’s a non-issue. Let’s follow this logic. Does the fact that 109 people were cited for jaywalking in Seattle in 2009 mean that only 109 people jaywalked in Seattle that year? Does the fact that 103,733 people were cited for driving without a seatbelt in Tennessee in 2015 mean that only that many people were driving without seatbelt in Tennessee in 2015?

Absolutely not. This can be proven easily because in 2014, the previous year, only 29,470 people were cited. The disparity is largely due to increased enforcement efforts in 2015. In other words, increasing enforcement of the crime revealed a much larger number of people committing the crime.

The exact same is true for voter fraud. We have no reason to believe that the low number of prosecutions means only that exact amount of voter fraud is happening. Rather, it could mean a lack of enforcement is failing to reveal the bulk of the violations that are occurring. Thus, as with many types of crimes, especially victimless crimes, the real number of cases is likely significantly higher than the number reported.

How to Effectively Target Voter Fraud

So now that we know voter fraud is a serious issue, what are some solutions to this problem? States like Michigan have Poll Challenger programs, where observers from both parties may be present at voter check-in tables at precincts. They check each voter’s ID against a database of registered voters for that precinct to ensure the person attempting to vote is actually legally qualified to vote in that precinct. If there’s a discrepancy, the poll challenger may officially challenge the ballot. Other states should implement similar programs.

States should sponsor initiatives to remove dead voters and correct the registrations of people registered in multiple states (make them choose just one state). Since many local jurisdictions are reluctant to clean their voter rolls, federal or state oversight with teeth may be necessary.

Further, voter ID laws, such as the one implemented by North Carolina, but (wrongly) struck down by three liberal judges on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit— one appointed by Bill Clinton and the other two appointed by President Obama—are needed to ensure there’s no cheating with votes. States should continue to press the issue regardless of recent setbacks by liberal activist judges.

Finally, some have claimed that strong voter ID laws are racist, because they disproportionately impact minorities and would prevent minorities from voting. As a black person, I’m naturally interested in this claim. Thankfully, it turns out to be false. The Heritage Foundation has shown that black voter turnout actually increased after North Carolina passed its voter ID law.

Not only was the claimed negative outcome false, but the reasoning was faulty as well. The fact that the law disproportionately impacts minorities does not mean that it is discriminatory. It means, unfortunately, that fewer minorities are in compliance with common-sense safeguards to protect the integrity of our elections (i.e., having a driver’s license or photo ID).

To mitigate this concern, states can offer a service that will take people without valid ID to their local government office to apply for proper ID, free of charge. Users could schedule the pickup with their smartphone or a phone call. That way there will be as few barriers as possible to those who want to vote and are capable of obtaining a valid ID, but cannot due to transportation concerns (a reason often given by those who claim voter ID laws hurt minorities).

So let us not believe false claims that voter fraud doesn’t exist. It’s real, and we must work to stop it, while making sure those who are eligible to vote but without proper ID are accommodated fairly.

John Gibbs

John Gibbs (@realJohnGibbs) is a regular contributor to The Federalist and RealClearPolitics. He’s worked at Apple as an engineer on the iPhone, and has used his fluency in Japanese to teach technology to churches in Japan. John holds a B.S. in computer science from Stanford University and a master in public administration from Harvard University John F. Kennedy School of Government.


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